Italy plays England in Round 5 of the 2022-23 UEFA Nations League group stage matches.
The match is scheduled to start at 6:45 p.m. GMT on Saturday, 23 September 2022. The match venue is Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano, Italy.
Latest odds on betting sites
Italy to win odds are priced at 4.50 (+350; 7/2), the odds for a draw are priced at 3.50 (+250; 5/2), while England to win odds are priced at 1.80 (-125 American; 4/5 Fractional)).
The chances of these outcomes are as follows: Italy — 20%, draw — 27%, England — 53%.
Latest betting odds on Italy vs England (23 September 2022):
- Over 2.5 goals — 2.20 (+120; 6/5)
- Under 2.5 goals — 1.80 (-125; 4/5)
- Asian handicap (+1.0, +1.5) on Italy — 1.96 (-104; 25/26)
- Asian handicap (-1.0, -1.5) on England — 1.94 (-106; 50/53)
- Both teams to score (Yes) — 2.00 (+100; 1/1)
- Both teams to score (No) — 1.73 (-183; 8/11)
Match preview and statistics
Italy suffered a 2-5 defeat to Germany in their last Nations League game. Joshua Kimmich opened the scoreline in the 10th minute as he slotted the ball into the net. Gundogan doubled their lead in the 48th minute with a powerful shot into the net. Thomas Muller scored the third goal of the night in the 51st minute with a half-volley into the net.
Timo Werner scored the fourth goal of the game in the 68th minute as he placed the ball into the net. Werner scored his second goal of the game in the 69th minute as he slotted the ball into the net. Wilfred Gnonto pulled one back in the 78th minute as he turned in the rebound. Bastoni made it 5-2 in the 94th minute with a finish into the near post.
Top stats: 35% possession, 14 total shots, three big chances, six shots on target, 277 accurate passes, 79% pass accuracy, eight fouls committed, four offside, four corners and three yellow cards.
Italy is third in the table with five points. They have scored five goals while conceding seven goals with a difference of -2.
Italy team news: No player is injured or suspended for the match.
England suffered a 0-4 defeat to Hungary in their last Nations League game. Rolland Sallai opened the scoreline in the 16th minute with a nice volley into the net. He doubled their lead in the 70th minute with a low shot into the corner. Zsolt Nagy made it 3-0 in the 80th minute with a nice strike into the bottom-left corner. Daniel Gazdag scored the fourth goal of the game in the 89th minute as he dinked the ball into the net.
Top stats: 69% possession, 10 total shots, two big chances, two shots on target, 546 accurate passes, 89% pass accuracy, 13 fouls committed, two offsides and six corners.
England team news: No player is injured or suspended for the match
Italy vs England H2H
Two of the last two matches have ended in a draw
Lineups and key players
Italy projected starting lineup:
- Gianluigi Donnarumma
- Alessandro Bastoni
- Leonardo Bonucci
- Cristiano Biraghi
- Sandro Tonali
- Marco Verratti
- Nicolo Barella
- Federico Bernardeschi
- Lorenzo Insigne
- Gianluca Scamacca
Nicolo Barella scored a goal in their 2-1 victory over Hungary. The Italian midfielder is a key player to watch out for. Barella completed the most dribbles in their 2-5 defeat to Germany. He created one chance during the game.
England projected starting lineup:
- Jordan Pickford
- Kyle Walker
- John Stones
- Harry Maguire
- Kieran Trippier
- Declan Rice
- Kalvin Phillips
- Raheem Sterling
- Mason Mount
- Phil Foden
- Harry Kane
Harry Kane became the youngest English player to score 50 goals for the national team. He is the second-highest goalscorer for the England national team with 50 goals in 70 appearances. Kane has been brilliant for England national team and will be looking to get a goal against Italy
Prediction and betting tips
England has looked poor in their last two games with zero wins in their last two games. They suffered a 0-4 defeat to Hungary in their last game and were poor against Italy as well. Italy has also been awful as they suffered a 2-5 heavy defeat against Germany in their last game. I predict a draw.
Harry Kane has been on form this season as he has scored six goals in the league. He became the youngest England player to reach 50 goals. Kane is one of England’s best scorers in history and I predict he will get a goal against Italy.
Betting prediction: Draw
Odds: 3.50 (+250 American; 5/2 Fractional)
Betting prediction: Harry Kane to score at anytime
Odds: 2.60 (+160 American; 8/5 Fractional)